Newcomers + youth/transient turnout flipped the city to Islamo-Socialist Mamdani not a mandate from 'original' New Yorkers
Zohran Mamdani Wins NYC Mayoral Race
Exit Poll Analysis: Original New Yorkers vs. Newcomers
Conclusion: Mamdani’s victory was driven by newcomers and young voters, while native-born and long-time New Yorkers largely rejected the socialist candidate.
| Voter Group | % for Mamdani | % for Cuomo | Implication |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lived in NYC <10 years (newcomers) | 81% | 19% | Core base – recent arrivals drove his win |
| Lived >10 years but not NYC-born | 55% | 45% | Moderate support from longer-term transplants |
| Born in New York City (original New Yorkers) | 38% | 49% | Rejected Mamdani – native-born preferred Cuomo |
| First-time mayoral voters | 66% | 34% | New/transient voters skewed heavily left |
| Repeat mayoral voters | 47% | 53% | Established voters leaned against Mamdani |
Bottom line:
Mamdani did not win because native or long-time New Yorkers wanted socialism — he won despite them.
His victory was powered by newcomers (81%) and non-native long-timers (55%), while native-born New Yorkers voted against him (49%–38%).
This suggests demographic replacement + youth/transient turnout flipped the city, not a mandate from "original" New Yorkers.
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